Geographic and diplomatic
The risk IDs on the matrix below are risks which sit under the theme 'geographic and diplomatic'. More information about the risks can be found below.
| Impact | 5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 2 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
||
| Likelihood | ||||||
Impact & Likelihood
| 5 | Catastrophic |
|---|---|
| 4 | Significant |
| 3 | Moderate |
| 2 | Limited |
| 1 | Minor |
| 5 | >25% |
|---|---|
| 4 | 5-25% |
| 3 | 1-5% |
| 2 | 0.2-1% |
| 1 | <0.2% |
Risk scenarios
| ID | Title | Publishing date |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Disruption of Russian gas supplies to Europe | July 2023 |
| 12 | Disruption to global oil trade routes | July 2023 |